That coupler and it's bushing to the pinion are known to wear and cause movement..a wobble or side to side movement that makes the "big" seal leak and the "small" seal inside with that bushing can as well...however end play or in and out movement suggests the pinion is moving and that only happens when..yes, the bearing retainer backs off or the bearing itself is failing. Now the coupler retainer, the small 10mm nut you see with the drive line out, could be loose...but it would be so rare its in there with the "Unlikely" area of posibilities...but stranger things have happened so take a look.